BADT26
First meeting 2-3 Feb
Day 1 Monday, 2 Feb 2026 (12-16)
Lundmarkssalen Astronomihuset
Lecture with non-computer exercises: Bayesian inference and subjective probability
Reading: BR* (Chapters 1 and 2) and DBDA* (Chapter 2, 4 and 5)
Lecture about conjugate models
Readings: BR* (Chapters 3 and 5) and DBDA* (Chapters 6)
Lecture on Bayesian analysis using MCMC
Exercise 3. Write your own MCMC sampler
Day 2 Tuesday, 3 Feb 09.00 - 14.00
Pufendorf Institute for Advanced Studies
9.15 Bayesian analysis using MCMC
Reading: BR* (Chapters 6, 7, 8) and DBDA* (Chapter 7)
Exercise 2: Conjugate models Solution
Exercise 3. Write your own MCMC sampler
Short lecture Introduction to software for MCMC sampling
Short lecture Predictive performance in Bayesian inference
Exercise 4. Get started with a software for MCMC sampling
12-13 Lunch
Lecture Generalised Linear Regression models
Reading: BR* (Chapters 9, 10, 11) and DBDA* (Chapter 15)
14.15 Almost a lecture on Decision theory
Reading: 1* and 2*
Second meeting 24-25 Feb
Tuesday, 24 Feb 2026 (12-16) Pufendorf
12.15 Lecture - drafty notes Decision making under uncertainty
13.15 Case studies on Bayesian data and decision analysis
BR* (Chapters 11, 13-17) and DBDA* (Chapter 9 and 10)
14.45 Coffee (self organised)
15.00 Preparation Literature seminar
16.00 End of day
Wednesday, 25 Feb 2026 (9-15) Geocentrum
09.15 Case studies on Bayesian data and decision analysis
11.30 Literature seminar theme 1
12.00 Lunch
13.15 Literature seminar theme 2
13.45 Coffee (self organised)
14.00 Literature seminar theme 3
14.30 Pitching individual project
15.00 End of day